Euro Dogma or Greek Drachma?

The nation of Greece is bankrupt. Let’s just say it plainly and simply.  Let’s not use “poli-speak” words aimed at soothing the sting or trying to maintain someone’s self-esteem such as; “insolvent”, or “challenged”, or “bust”. And let’s be even more plain, any manner of restructuring of debt, other than “arm’s length” transaction, is the admission of…

On Gambling, Logic, Statistics – and Project Portfolio Return Optimization

Several years ago, a good friend of mine invited me for a “guy’s weekend” in Atlantic Citywhere we were to stay at the Tropicana.  It sounded interesting enough as he and I always had a few laughs together and I had never really been to a casino before. In fact, when we arrived at the Tropicana, one of…

The Cost of Complexity

Recently, whilst working with the Global Planning Team of a major oil company, we were asked, “What is the cost of complexity and what is the effective range on this cost?”  At one level, the answer is easy; “It is the cost associated with having more than one customer and product.  The more complex the supply chain,…